Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · T20 INTERNATIONAL
India vs Sri Lanka 3rd T20I Prediction
IND vs SL · who will win, pitch report & odds
India
67% win probability
Projected first-innings total
179-213:172-202
Sri Lanka
33% win probability
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune
- BALANCED / DRY
Quick answer
Quick answer
Powerplay247's model gives India a 67% chance and Sri Lanka 33% in the IND vs SL 3rd T20I at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium. Expect India around 179-213 and Sri Lanka around 172-202 on a surface rated balanced / dry. First ball: Sun, 27 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- India (67%)
- Format
- T20 INTERNATIONAL
- Pitch suits
- Balanced
- Venue
- Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium
Match prediction
IND vs SL 3rd T20I: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans India at 67% for this 3rd T20I at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune. The toss and the balanced / dry conditions will still move the live price, so treat 67% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
India
67% win probability
3rd T20I · T20 INTERNATIONAL
India win
67%
Sri Lanka win
33%
IND projected
179-213
SL projected
172-202
Pitch and conditions
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium pitch report for IND vs SL
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium is rated balanced / dry for this t20 international. No extreme in either direction, so phase scoring should track close to the format average.
Venue
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium
Surface
BALANCED / DRY
Best suited to
Balanced
First-innings total
179-213 / 172-202
Toss call: The toss is close to neutral. Weigh up the two batting line-ups rather than the coin.
Projected scoreline
India vs Sri Lanka projected score by phase
How the first-innings total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface.
| Phase | India | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Powerplay (0-6) | 48-56 | 49-55 |
| Middle Overs (7-15) | 74-86 | 69-83 |
| Death Overs (16-20) | 57-71 | 54-64 |
| First-innings total | 179-213 | 172-202 |
Players to watch
Key players in India vs Sri Lanka
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this t20 international. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
- MS88Impact
Mohammed Siraj
Closes out the death overs
- RP86Impact
Rishabh Pant
Attacks the powerplay
Sri Lanka
- MP81Impact
Matheesha Pathirana
Closes out the death overs
- AM97Impact
Angelo Mathews
Swings the match-ups
Betting notes
How to bet on IND vs SL 3rd T20I
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Twenty overs goes quickly. The powerplay and the last five overs decide most T20 totals, so trade those two windows rather than holding one pre-match position.
- 02
Late in a series, player markets such as top batter and most sixes often lag the match-winner line. That makes them the softer option on 3rd T20I day.
- 03
Powerplay247 is an exchange, so you can back or lay every market on India vs Sri Lanka. You can also trade out mid-match to lock in part of a profit.
- 04
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium plays balanced / dry. Price the first-innings total in phases instead of backing a single full-innings number before the toss.
Match card
India vs Sri Lanka match details
- Series
- Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026
- Match
- 3rd T20I (6 of 6)
- Date
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune
- Format
- T20 INTERNATIONAL
- Series window
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 - Sun, 27 Dec 2026
- Series format
- 3 ODIs | 3 T20Is
Match preview
India meet Sri Lanka in the 3rd T20I of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune. Coming late in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026, form from the earlier games is already priced into the market. India are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has India scoring 179-213 and Sri Lanka 172-202, with India ahead at 67%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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6 questions
IND vs SL 3rd T20I: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes India favourites at 67%, with Sri Lanka on 33%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a balanced / dry pitch at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium?
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune is rated balanced / dry for this T20I, which suits neither side in particular. That is why India are projected at 179-213 and Sri Lanka at 172-202. The pitch usually moves the totals and the powerplay markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is India vs Sri Lanka?
The 3rd T20I is scheduled for Sun, 27 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune, as part of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
Does home advantage matter in the 3rd T20I?
Yes. India know Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium well, and that is already part of India's 67% rating. If the balanced / dry conditions play differently than expected, Sri Lanka at 33% is the value side.
Who should bat first at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium if they win the toss?
The toss is close to neutral. Weigh up the two batting line-ups rather than the coin. On a balanced / dry surface, the toss will move the the powerplay and totals markets more than the headline odds.
Which markets are best for this T20I?
Powerplay runs, death-over runs and total sixes. In a T20 at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, those two windows decide most of the innings.
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Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.