Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · ODI (50 OVERS)
India vs Sri Lanka 1st ODI Prediction
IND vs SL · who will win, pitch report & odds
India
67% win probability
Projected first-innings total
298-348:279-325
Sri Lanka
33% win probability
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi
- BALANCED / DRY
Quick answer
Quick answer
Our lean for India vs Sri Lanka is India at 67%. Arun Jaitley Stadium is rated balanced / dry, which favours neither side in particular, and the projected first-innings totals are 298-348 for India and 279-325 for Sri Lanka. Start time: Sun, 13 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- India (67%)
- Format
- ODI (50 OVERS)
- Pitch suits
- Balanced
- Venue
- Arun Jaitley Stadium
Match prediction
IND vs SL 1st ODI: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans India at 67% for this 1st ODI at Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi. The toss and the balanced / dry conditions will still move the live price, so treat 67% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
India
67% win probability
1st ODI · ODI (50 OVERS)
India win
67%
Sri Lanka win
33%
IND projected
298-348
SL projected
279-325
Pitch and conditions
Arun Jaitley Stadium pitch report for IND vs SL
Arun Jaitley Stadium is rated balanced / dry for this odi (50 overs). No extreme in either direction, so phase scoring should track close to the format average.
Venue
Arun Jaitley Stadium
Surface
BALANCED / DRY
Best suited to
Balanced
First-innings total
298-348 / 279-325
Toss call: The toss is close to neutral. Weigh up the two batting line-ups rather than the coin.
Projected scoreline
India vs Sri Lanka projected score by phase
How the first-innings total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface.
| Phase | India | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Powerplay (0-10) | 51-61 | 43-53 |
| Middle Overs (11-40) | 160-182 | 156-178 |
| Death Overs (41-50) | 87-105 | 80-94 |
| First-innings total | 298-348 | 279-325 |
Players to watch
Key players in India vs Sri Lanka
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this odi (50 overs). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
- SG83Impact
Shubman Gill
Anchors the chase
- JB81Impact
Jasprit Bumrah
Bowls at the death
Sri Lanka
- DC96Impact
Dushmantha Chameera
Bowls at the death
- PN94Impact
Pathum Nissanka
Sets the powerplay tempo
Betting notes
How to bet on IND vs SL 1st ODI
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Series openers are usually priced on reputation, not recent form. That gap tends to close within the first hour, so early prices on Sri Lanka can be worth a look.
- 02
If India vs Sri Lanka turns early, in-play markets such as next-over runs and method of dismissal give you another way in without chasing the headline price.
- 03
Arun Jaitley Stadium plays balanced / dry. Price the first-innings total in phases instead of backing a single full-innings number before the toss.
- 04
India go in as clear 67% favourites. Backing them early is simple, but the better value often comes from laying them in-play if Sri Lanka win the first hour.
Match card
India vs Sri Lanka match details
- Series
- Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026
- Match
- 1st ODI (1 of 6)
- Date
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi
- Format
- ODI (50 OVERS)
- Series window
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 - Sun, 27 Dec 2026
- Series format
- 3 ODIs | 3 T20Is
Match preview
India meet Sri Lanka in the 1st ODI of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 at Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi. It is the opening match of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026, so neither side has shown its hand at this venue yet. India are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has India scoring 298-348 and Sri Lanka 279-325, with India ahead at 67%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Arun Jaitley Stadium will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
IND vs SL 1st ODI: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes India favourites at 67%, with Sri Lanka on 33%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a balanced / dry pitch at Arun Jaitley Stadium. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Arun Jaitley Stadium?
Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi is rated balanced / dry for this ODI, which suits neither side in particular. That is why India are projected at 298-348 and Sri Lanka at 279-325. The pitch usually moves the totals and overs 11-40 markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is India vs Sri Lanka?
The 1st ODI is scheduled for Sun, 13 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi, as part of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
What are the projected scores for IND vs SL?
We project India at 298-348 and Sri Lanka at 279-325 for the first-innings total. The biggest phase is Middle Overs (11-40), where India are expected to score 160-182 and Sri Lanka 156-178.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for the 1st ODI?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will guide you through setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Sun, 13 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
Which players could decide India vs Sri Lanka?
Watch Shubman Gill for India (anchors the chase) and Dushmantha Chameera for Sri Lanka (bowls at the death). On a pitch that suits neither side in particular, their runs and wickets markets often move before the match-winner price does.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.