Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · T20 INTERNATIONAL
India vs Sri Lanka 1st T20I Prediction
IND vs SL · who will win, pitch report & odds
India
67% win probability
Projected first-innings total
186-218:156-192
Sri Lanka
33% win probability
- Mon, 21 Dec 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Niranjan Shah Stadium, Rajkot
- BALANCED / DRY
Quick answer
Quick answer
India are the 67% favourites to win the 1st T20I against Sri Lanka at Niranjan Shah Stadium. Our projection puts India on 186-218 and Sri Lanka on 156-192, on a balanced / dry pitch that suits neither side in particular. The match starts Mon, 21 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- India (67%)
- Format
- T20 INTERNATIONAL
- Pitch suits
- Balanced
- Venue
- Niranjan Shah Stadium
Match prediction
IND vs SL 1st T20I: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans India at 67% for this 1st T20I at Niranjan Shah Stadium, Rajkot. The toss and the balanced / dry conditions will still move the live price, so treat 67% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
India
67% win probability
1st T20I · T20 INTERNATIONAL
India win
67%
Sri Lanka win
33%
IND projected
186-218
SL projected
156-192
Pitch and conditions
Niranjan Shah Stadium pitch report for IND vs SL
Niranjan Shah Stadium is rated balanced / dry for this t20 international. No extreme in either direction, so phase scoring should track close to the format average.
Venue
Niranjan Shah Stadium
Surface
BALANCED / DRY
Best suited to
Balanced
First-innings total
186-218 / 156-192
Toss call: The toss is close to neutral. Weigh up the two batting line-ups rather than the coin.
Projected scoreline
India vs Sri Lanka projected score by phase
How the first-innings total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a balanced / dry surface.
| Phase | India | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Powerplay (0-6) | 50-58 | 40-50 |
| Middle Overs (7-15) | 76-88 | 65-79 |
| Death Overs (16-20) | 60-72 | 51-63 |
| First-innings total | 186-218 | 156-192 |
Players to watch
Key players in India vs Sri Lanka
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this t20 international. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
- HP86Impact
Hardik Pandya
Swings the match-ups
- SG96Impact
Shubman Gill
Finishes the innings
Sri Lanka
- PN88Impact
Pathum Nissanka
Sets the top-order tempo
- DC87Impact
Dushmantha Chameera
Takes the new ball
Betting notes
How to bet on IND vs SL 1st T20I
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Twenty overs goes quickly. The powerplay and the last five overs decide most T20 totals, so trade those two windows rather than holding one pre-match position.
- 02
The previous result is already in India's price. If you think the market has overreacted, the exchange lets you take the other side at 33%.
- 03
Niranjan Shah Stadium plays balanced / dry. Price the first-innings total in phases instead of backing a single full-innings number before the toss.
- 04
India go in as clear 67% favourites. Backing them early is simple, but the better value often comes from laying them in-play if Sri Lanka win the first six overs.
Match card
India vs Sri Lanka match details
- Series
- Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026
- Match
- 1st T20I (4 of 6)
- Date
- Mon, 21 Dec 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Niranjan Shah Stadium, Rajkot
- Format
- T20 INTERNATIONAL
- Series window
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 - Sun, 27 Dec 2026
- Series format
- 3 ODIs | 3 T20Is
Match preview
India meet Sri Lanka in the 1st T20I of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 at Niranjan Shah Stadium, Rajkot. As match 4 of 6 in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026, it follows on directly from the form of the last game. India are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has India scoring 186-218 and Sri Lanka 156-192, with India ahead at 67%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Niranjan Shah Stadium will move the live price on Powerplay247.
All fixturesNext on the calendar
More cricket fixtures
Read before you bet
Cricket betting guides
India vs USA at the T20 World Cup on Powerplay247Sports insights · Play responsiblyIndia vs USA at the T20 World Cup on Powerplay247
Find India vs USA at the T20 World Cup on Powerplay247. Open the named fixture, use match winner or live markets when listed. No score prediction is made here.
Read more
India vs New Zealand T20: live betting on Powerplay247Sports insights · Play responsiblyIndia vs New Zealand T20: live betting on Powerplay247
Live Powerplay247 markets for India vs New Zealand T20s: let prices settle after a wicket, screenshot each slip and don't chase the first in-play price you see.
Read more
India vs New Zealand T20 World Cup final on Powerplay247Sports insights · Play responsiblyIndia vs New Zealand T20 World Cup final on Powerplay247
If the T20 World Cup final is India vs New Zealand, here's how to open that fixture on Powerplay247 and which markets to use. This page predicts no score.
Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
IND vs SL 1st T20I: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes India favourites at 67%, with Sri Lanka on 33%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a balanced / dry pitch at Niranjan Shah Stadium. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Niranjan Shah Stadium?
Niranjan Shah Stadium, Rajkot is rated balanced / dry for this T20I, which suits neither side in particular. That is why India are projected at 186-218 and Sri Lanka at 156-192. The pitch usually moves the totals and the powerplay markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is India vs Sri Lanka?
The 1st T20I is scheduled for Mon, 21 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Niranjan Shah Stadium, Rajkot, as part of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
Which markets are best for this T20I?
Powerplay runs, death-over runs and total sixes. In a T20 at Niranjan Shah Stadium, those two windows decide most of the innings.
Which players could decide India vs Sri Lanka?
Watch Hardik Pandya for India (swings the match-ups) and Pathum Nissanka for Sri Lanka (sets the top-order tempo). On a pitch that suits neither side in particular, their runs and wickets markets often move before the match-winner price does.
Who should bat first at Niranjan Shah Stadium if they win the toss?
The toss is close to neutral. Weigh up the two batting line-ups rather than the coin. On a balanced / dry surface, the toss will move the the powerplay and totals markets more than the headline odds.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.