New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 · TEST MATCH
Australia vs New Zealand 4th Test Prediction
AUS vs NZ · who will win, pitch report & odds
Australia
67% win probability
Projected day-one total
267-311:262-310
New Zealand
33% win probability
- Fri, 08 Jan 2027Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney
- FLAT / BATTERS
Quick answer
Quick answer
Australia are the 67% favourites to win the 4th Test against New Zealand at Sydney Cricket Ground. Our projection puts Australia on 267-311 and New Zealand on 262-310, on a flat / batters pitch that suits batters. The match starts Fri, 08 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- Australia (67%)
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Pitch suits
- Batters
- Venue
- Sydney Cricket Ground
Match prediction
AUS vs NZ 4th Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans Australia at 67% for this 4th Test at Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney. The toss and the flat / batters conditions will still move the live price, so treat 67% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
Australia
67% win probability
4th Test · TEST MATCH
Australia win
67%
New Zealand win
33%
AUS projected
267-311
NZ projected
262-310
Pitch and conditions
Sydney Cricket Ground pitch report for AUS vs NZ
Sydney Cricket Ground is rated flat / batters for this test match. Even bounce and good carry reward shot-making, so totals here usually finish above the format average.
Venue
Sydney Cricket Ground
Surface
FLAT / BATTERS
Best suited to
Batters
Day-one total
267-311 / 262-310
Toss call: The toss matters less than usual. The sharper angle is the runs line, not which side bats first.
Projected scoreline
Australia vs New Zealand projected score by phase
How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a flat / batters surface.
| Phase | Australia | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1 | 88-102 | 87-105 |
| Session 2 | 95-109 | 92-108 |
| Session 3 | 84-100 | 83-97 |
| Day-one total | 267-311 | 262-310 |
Players to watch
Key players in Australia vs New Zealand
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- ML87Impact
Marnus Labuschagne
Anchors the first innings
- CG90Impact
Cameron Green
Balances bat and ball
New Zealand
- TS81Impact
Tim Southee
Hits a hard length
- GP84Impact
Glenn Phillips
Converts starts into hundreds
Betting notes
How to bet on AUS vs NZ 4th Test
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Totals look like the best angle. With projections of 267-311 and 262-310, the runs lines, boundary counts and the second session markets carry more edge than the match winner.
- 02
Late in a series, player markets such as top batter and most sixes often lag the match-winner line. That makes them the softer option on 4th Test day.
- 03
Australia go in as clear 67% favourites. Backing them early is simple, but the better value often comes from laying them in-play if New Zealand win the first hour.
- 04
In a Test, the match moves session by session. Session-runs and next-wicket markets on Australia vs New Zealand react faster than the overall result line.
Match card
Australia vs New Zealand match details
- Series
- New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27
- Match
- 4th Test (4 of 4)
- Date
- Fri, 08 Jan 2027
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Series window
- Wed, 09 Dec 2026 - Fri, 08 Jan 2027
- Series format
- 4 Tests
Match preview
Australia meet New Zealand in the 4th Test of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 at Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney. Coming late in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27, form from the earlier games is already priced into the market. Australia are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has Australia scoring 267-311 and New Zealand 262-310, with Australia ahead at 67%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Sydney Cricket Ground will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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6 questions
AUS vs NZ 4th Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes Australia favourites at 67%, with New Zealand on 33%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a flat / batters pitch at Sydney Cricket Ground. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Sydney Cricket Ground?
Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney is rated flat / batters for this Test, which suits batters. That is why Australia are projected at 267-311 and New Zealand at 262-310. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is Australia vs New Zealand?
The 4th Test is scheduled for Fri, 08 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST at Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney, as part of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
Which players could decide Australia vs New Zealand?
Watch Marnus Labuschagne for Australia (anchors the first innings) and Tim Southee for New Zealand (hits a hard length). On a pitch that suits batters, their runs and wickets markets often move before the match-winner price does.
Where does the 4th Test fit in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27?
It is match 4 of 4, so recent form is already in Australia's 67% line. Any momentum swing from the last game is where value can appear.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for the 4th Test?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will guide you through setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Fri, 08 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.