New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 · TEST MATCH
Australia vs New Zealand 1st Test Prediction
AUS vs NZ · who will win, pitch report & odds
Australia
57% win probability
Projected day-one total
266-316:253-301
New Zealand
43% win probability
- Wed, 09 Dec 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Perth Stadium, Perth
- FLAT / BATTERS
Quick answer
Quick answer
Powerplay247's model gives Australia a 57% chance and New Zealand 43% in the AUS vs NZ 1st Test at Perth Stadium. Expect Australia around 266-316 and New Zealand around 253-301 on a surface rated flat / batters. First ball: Wed, 09 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- Australia (57%)
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Pitch suits
- Batters
- Venue
- Perth Stadium
Match prediction
AUS vs NZ 1st Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans Australia at 57% for this 1st Test at Perth Stadium, Perth. The toss and the flat / batters conditions will still move the live price, so treat 57% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
Australia
57% win probability
1st Test · TEST MATCH
Australia win
57%
New Zealand win
43%
AUS projected
266-316
NZ projected
253-301
Pitch and conditions
Perth Stadium pitch report for AUS vs NZ
Perth Stadium is rated flat / batters for this test match. Even bounce and good carry reward shot-making, so totals here usually finish above the format average.
Venue
Perth Stadium
Surface
FLAT / BATTERS
Best suited to
Batters
Day-one total
266-316 / 253-301
Toss call: The toss matters less than usual. The sharper angle is the runs line, not which side bats first.
Projected scoreline
Australia vs New Zealand projected score by phase
How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a flat / batters surface.
| Phase | Australia | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1 | 89-107 | 81-97 |
| Session 2 | 91-109 | 89-107 |
| Session 3 | 86-100 | 83-97 |
| Day-one total | 266-316 | 253-301 |
Players to watch
Key players in Australia vs New Zealand
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- PC82Impact
Pat Cummins
Hits a hard length
- DW89Impact
David Warner
Converts starts into hundreds
New Zealand
- MH87Impact
Matt Henry
Hits a hard length
- MS86Impact
Mitchell Santner
Bowls the long spells
Betting notes
How to bet on AUS vs NZ 1st Test
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Series openers are usually priced on reputation, not recent form. That gap tends to close within the first hour, so early prices on New Zealand can be worth a look.
- 02
Australia go in as clear 57% favourites. Backing them early is simple, but the better value often comes from laying them in-play if New Zealand win the first hour.
- 03
Totals look like the best angle. With projections of 266-316 and 253-301, the runs lines, boundary counts and the second session markets carry more edge than the match winner.
- 04
In a Test, the match moves session by session. Session-runs and next-wicket markets on Australia vs New Zealand react faster than the overall result line.
Match card
Australia vs New Zealand match details
- Series
- New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27
- Match
- 1st Test (1 of 4)
- Date
- Wed, 09 Dec 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Perth Stadium, Perth
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Series window
- Wed, 09 Dec 2026 - Fri, 08 Jan 2027
- Series format
- 4 Tests
Match preview
Australia meet New Zealand in the 1st Test of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 at Perth Stadium, Perth. It is the opening match of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27, so neither side has shown its hand at this venue yet. Australia are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has Australia scoring 266-316 and New Zealand 253-301, with Australia ahead at 57%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Perth Stadium will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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6 questions
AUS vs NZ 1st Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes Australia favourites at 57%, with New Zealand on 43%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a flat / batters pitch at Perth Stadium. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Perth Stadium?
Perth Stadium, Perth is rated flat / batters for this Test, which suits batters. That is why Australia are projected at 266-316 and New Zealand at 253-301. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is Australia vs New Zealand?
The 1st Test is scheduled for Wed, 09 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Perth Stadium, Perth, as part of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for the 1st Test?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will guide you through setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Wed, 09 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
Where does the 1st Test fit in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27?
It opens the series. Opening prices on Australia vs New Zealand are based mostly on reputation, so they tend to correct quickly once play begins.
What are the projected scores for AUS vs NZ?
We project Australia at 266-316 and New Zealand at 253-301 for the day-one total. The biggest phase is Session 2, where Australia are expected to score 91-109 and New Zealand 89-107.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.