Premier League 2026/27 · Tyne-Wear derby
Sunderland vs Newcastle United Prediction
Predicted score, odds & match preview
Sunderland
32% win probability
Predicted score
0 : 1
HT 0-0
Newcastle
41% win probability
- Sat, 01 May 2027
- 15:00 UK19:30 IST
- Stadium of Light, Sunderland
- TV pick to be confirmedUK broadcast
Quick answer
Quick answer
Sunderland vs Newcastle United kicks off Sat, 01 May 2027, 15:00 UK (19:30 IST). Newcastle United are narrow favourites at 41%, our predicted score is 0-1, and the model rates both teams to score at 51%.
- Favourite
- Newcastle (41%)
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
Match prediction
Sunderland vs Newcastle: who will win?
Powerplay247's goals model makes Newcastle United favourites at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.
Predicted winner
Newcastle
41% · predicted 0-1
Draw no bet: Newcastle 56%
Sunderland win
32%
Newcastle win
41%
Draw
27%
Handicap line
Sunderland +0.5
Goals and totals
Sunderland vs Newcastle goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5
Expected goals: Sunderland 1.17, Newcastle 1.34. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.
- Sunderland expected goals
- 1.17
- Newcastle expected goals
- 1.34
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Under 3.5 goals
- 76%
- Likeliest exact score
- 1-1 (13%)
- Half-time score
- 0-0
- Total corners
- 10-13
- Total cards
- 4.5-5.5
Team preview
Sunderland vs Newcastle United: team preview
How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Sunderland
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sunderland are a mid-table side who are hard to beat at home but can struggle to create against organised defences, which keeps their games tighter.
Away
Newcastle United
St James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle United are a strong top-half side. Their games away at Stadium of Light usually turn on midfield control and how well they defend transitions.
Markets
Best betting markets for Sunderland vs Newcastle
Match result (1X2)
Sunderland 32% · Draw 27% · Newcastle 41%.
Correct score
The single most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), and our predicted score is 0-1. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.
Both teams to score
Yes at 51%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.
Total goals
Over 2.5 at 46%, under 3.5 at 76%, from expected goals of 1.17 and 1.34.
Draw no bet
Newcastle at 56% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.
Handicap
Sunderland +0.5 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.
Betting notes
How to bet on Sunderland vs Newcastle
Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Derbies bring more fouls and bookings. The model's card range is 4.5-5.5, above the usual Premier League average.
- 02
The model leans towards a tight game: under 3.5 goals at 76%. If the first 30 minutes stay goalless, in-play unders usually get even shorter.
- 03
Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.
- 04
The draw is live at 27%. Draw-no-bet on Newcastle (56% on the two-way split) protects your stake if the game ends level.
Match card
Sunderland vs Newcastle match details
- Competition
- Premier League 2026/27
- Date
- Sat, 01 May 2027
- Kick-off (UK)
- 15:00
- Kick-off (India)
- 19:30 IST
- Stadium
- Stadium of Light, Sunderland
- Rivalry
- Tyne-Wear derby
- UK TV
- To be confirmed
Match preview
Sunderland host Newcastle United at Stadium of Light, Sunderland, in the Premier League 2026/27. It is a Tyne-Wear derby, so form counts for less than usual and the game tends to be tighter and more physical. Our goals model gives Sunderland an expected 1.17 goals and Newcastle 1.34, which works out to Sunderland 32%, draw 27% and Newcastle 41%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 0-1. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
Sunderland vs Newcastle: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes it Sunderland 32%, draw 27%, Newcastle 41%, so Newcastle United are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Newcastle United?
Our predicted full-time score is 0-1, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.17 goals from Sunderland and 1.34 from Newcastle.
When and where is Sunderland vs Newcastle United?
It kicks off on Sat, 01 May 2027 at 15:00 UK time (19:30 IST in India) at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.
Can I bet on Sunderland vs Newcastle in-play?
Yes. Markets stay open for the full 90 minutes with back and lay prices, so you can trade out after a goal, a red card or a change in momentum.
What time does Sunderland vs Newcastle start in India?
Kick-off is 15:00 UK time on Sat, 01 May 2027, which is 19:30 IST in India.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for Premier League betting?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will help with setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Sat, 01 May 2027.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppFixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.