Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 · ODI (50 OVERS)
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka 3rd ODI Prediction
NZ vs SL · who will win, pitch report & odds
New Zealand
67% win probability
Projected first-innings total
307-351:281-329
Sri Lanka
33% win probability
- Mon, 25 Jan 2027Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- University Oval, Dunedin
- FLAT / HIGH-SCORING
Quick answer
Quick answer
Powerplay247's model gives New Zealand a 67% chance and Sri Lanka 33% in the NZ vs SL 3rd ODI at University Oval. Expect New Zealand around 307-351 and Sri Lanka around 281-329 on a surface rated flat / high-scoring. First ball: Mon, 25 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- New Zealand (67%)
- Format
- ODI (50 OVERS)
- Pitch suits
- Batters
- Venue
- University Oval
Match prediction
NZ vs SL 3rd ODI: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans New Zealand at 67% for this 3rd ODI at University Oval, Dunedin. The toss and the flat / high-scoring conditions will still move the live price, so treat 67% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
New Zealand
67% win probability
3rd ODI · ODI (50 OVERS)
New Zealand win
67%
Sri Lanka win
33%
NZ projected
307-351
SL projected
281-329
Pitch and conditions
University Oval pitch report for NZ vs SL
University Oval is rated flat / high-scoring for this odi (50 overs). Even bounce and good carry reward shot-making, so totals here usually finish above the format average.
Venue
University Oval
Surface
FLAT / HIGH-SCORING
Best suited to
Batters
First-innings total
307-351 / 281-329
Toss call: The toss matters less than usual. The sharper angle is the runs line, not which side bats first.
Projected scoreline
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka projected score by phase
How the first-innings total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface.
| Phase | New Zealand | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Powerplay (0-10) | 57-67 | 45-55 |
| Middle Overs (11-40) | 165-185 | 160-182 |
| Death Overs (41-50) | 85-99 | 76-92 |
| First-innings total | 307-351 | 281-329 |
Players to watch
Key players in New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this odi (50 overs). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- DM94Impact
Daryl Mitchell
Drives the middle overs
- MH87Impact
Matt Henry
Bowls at the death
Sri Lanka
- SS90Impact
Sadeera Samarawickrama
Anchors the chase
- CA95Impact
Charith Asalanka
Sets the powerplay tempo
Betting notes
How to bet on NZ vs SL 3rd ODI
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
50-over games are won in the middle. Most of the liquidity sits in overs 11-40 and the final ten, which is where New Zealand (307-351) and Sri Lanka (281-329) will either hit or miss their projections.
- 02
Totals look like the best angle. With projections of 307-351 and 281-329, the runs lines, boundary counts and overs 11-40 markets carry more edge than the match winner.
- 03
The previous result is already in New Zealand's price. If you think the market has overreacted, the exchange lets you take the other side at 33%.
- 04
New Zealand go in as clear 67% favourites. Backing them early is simple, but the better value often comes from laying them in-play if Sri Lanka win the first hour.
Match card
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka match details
- Series
- Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
- Match
- 3rd ODI (3 of 8)
- Date
- Mon, 25 Jan 2027
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- University Oval, Dunedin
- Format
- ODI (50 OVERS)
- Series window
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 - Tue, 16 Feb 2027
- Series format
- 3 ODIs | 3 T20Is | 2 Tests
Match preview
New Zealand meet Sri Lanka in the 3rd ODI of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 at University Oval, Dunedin. As match 3 of 8 in Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027, it follows on directly from the form of the last game. New Zealand are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has New Zealand scoring 307-351 and Sri Lanka 281-329, with New Zealand ahead at 67%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at University Oval will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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6 questions
NZ vs SL 3rd ODI: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes New Zealand favourites at 67%, with Sri Lanka on 33%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a flat / high-scoring pitch at University Oval. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for University Oval?
University Oval, Dunedin is rated flat / high-scoring for this ODI, which suits batters. That is why New Zealand are projected at 307-351 and Sri Lanka at 281-329. The pitch usually moves the totals and overs 11-40 markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
The 3rd ODI is scheduled for Mon, 25 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST at University Oval, Dunedin, as part of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
What are the projected scores for NZ vs SL?
We project New Zealand at 307-351 and Sri Lanka at 281-329 for the first-innings total. The biggest phase is Middle Overs (11-40), where New Zealand are expected to score 165-185 and Sri Lanka 160-182.
Does home advantage matter in the 3rd ODI?
Yes. New Zealand know University Oval well, and that is already part of New Zealand's 67% rating. If the flat / high-scoring conditions play differently than expected, Sri Lanka at 33% is the value side.
Where does the 3rd ODI fit in Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027?
It is match 3 of 8, so recent form is already in New Zealand's 67% line. Any momentum swing from the last game is where value can appear.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.