Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Prediction
Predicted score, odds & match preview
Newcastle
51% win probability
Predicted score
1 : 0
HT 0-0
Villa
25% win probability
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026
- 17:30 UK22:00 IST
- St James' Park, Newcastle
- Sky SportsUK broadcast
Quick answer
Quick answer
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa kicks off Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK (22:00 IST). Newcastle United are clear favourites at 51%, our predicted score is 1-0, and the model rates both teams to score at 55%.
- Favourite
- Newcastle (51%)
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
Match prediction
Newcastle vs Villa: who will win?
Powerplay247's goals model makes Newcastle United favourites at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.
Predicted winner
Newcastle
51% · predicted 1-0
Draw no bet: Newcastle 67%
Newcastle win
51%
Villa win
25%
Draw
24%
Handicap line
Newcastle -0.5
Goals and totals
Newcastle vs Villa goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.71, Villa 1.13. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.
- Newcastle expected goals
- 1.71
- Villa expected goals
- 1.13
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 3.5 goals
- 68%
- Likeliest exact score
- 1-1 (11%)
- Half-time score
- 0-0
- Total corners
- 9-12
- Total cards
- 3.5-4.5
Team preview
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: team preview
How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
St James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle United are a strong top-half side. Their games at St James' Park usually turn on midfield control and how well they defend transitions.
Away
Aston Villa
Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa are a strong top-half side. Their games away at St James' Park usually turn on midfield control and how well they defend transitions.
Markets
Best betting markets for Newcastle vs Villa
Match result (1X2)
Newcastle 51% · Draw 24% · Villa 25%.
Correct score
The single most likely exact score is 1-1 (11%), and our predicted score is 1-0. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.
Both teams to score
Yes at 55%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.
Total goals
Over 2.5 at 54%, under 3.5 at 68%, from expected goals of 1.71 and 1.13.
Draw no bet
Newcastle at 67% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.
Handicap
Newcastle -0.5 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.
Betting notes
How to bet on Newcastle vs Villa
Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
The model leans towards goals: over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 55%. Goals markets look sharper than the result here.
- 02
Powerplay247 is an exchange: you can back or lay every market on Newcastle vs Villa and trade out in-play, for example after an early goal, instead of waiting for full time.
- 03
Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.
- 04
The corners range is 9-12. The favourite tends to win most of them while the underdog sits deep, so team corners can beat the match total.
Match card
Newcastle vs Villa match details
- Competition
- Premier League 2026/27
- Date
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026
- Kick-off (UK)
- 17:30
- Kick-off (India)
- 22:00 IST
- Stadium
- St James' Park, Newcastle
- UK TV
- Sky Sports
Match preview
Newcastle United host Aston Villa at St James' Park, Newcastle, in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model gives Newcastle an expected 1.71 goals and Villa 1.13, which works out to Newcastle 51%, draw 24% and Villa 25%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 1-0. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
Newcastle vs Villa: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes it Newcastle 51%, draw 24%, Villa 25%, so Newcastle United are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted full-time score is 1-0, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.71 goals from Newcastle and 1.13 from Villa.
When and where is Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
It kicks off on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 at 17:30 UK time (22:00 IST in India) at St James' Park in Newcastle. It is live on Sky Sports in the UK. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.
Can I bet on Newcastle vs Villa in-play?
Yes. Markets stay open for the full 90 minutes with back and lay prices, so you can trade out after a goal, a red card or a change in momentum.
Which markets are open for Newcastle vs Villa?
Match result, draw no bet, handicap, correct score, both teams to score, total goals, corners and cards, before kick-off and in-play on Powerplay247.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for Premier League betting?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will help with setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Sat, 17 Oct 2026.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppFixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.