Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction
Predicted score, odds & match preview
Newcastle
37% win probability
Predicted score
1 : 0
HT 0-0
Arsenal
37% win probability
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026
- 17:30 UK23:00 IST
- St James' Park, Newcastle
- Sky SportsUK broadcast
Quick answer
Quick answer
Newcastle United vs Arsenal kicks off Sat, 21 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK (23:00 IST). Newcastle United are narrow favourites at 37%, our predicted score is 1-0, and the model rates both teams to score at 56%.
- Favourite
- Newcastle (37%)
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
Match prediction
Newcastle vs Arsenal: who will win?
Powerplay247's goals model makes Newcastle United favourites at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.
Predicted winner
Newcastle
37% · predicted 1-0
Draw no bet: Newcastle 50%
Newcastle win
37%
Arsenal win
37%
Draw
26%
Handicap line
Arsenal +0.5
Goals and totals
Newcastle vs Arsenal goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.38, Arsenal 1.37. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.
- Newcastle expected goals
- 1.38
- Arsenal expected goals
- 1.37
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 3.5 goals
- 70%
- Likeliest exact score
- 1-1 (12%)
- Half-time score
- 0-0
- Total corners
- 10-13
- Total cards
- 3.5-4.5
Team preview
Newcastle United vs Arsenal: team preview
How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
St James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle United are a strong top-half side. Their games at St James' Park usually turn on midfield control and how well they defend transitions.
Away
Arsenal
Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal are among the title contenders. Expect them to control possession away at St James' Park and push Newcastle back, so their chance count, and the corners market, tends to run high.
Markets
Best betting markets for Newcastle vs Arsenal
Match result (1X2)
Newcastle 37% · Draw 26% · Arsenal 37%.
Correct score
The single most likely exact score is 1-1 (12%), and our predicted score is 1-0. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.
Both teams to score
Yes at 56%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.
Total goals
Over 2.5 at 52%, under 3.5 at 70%, from expected goals of 1.38 and 1.37.
Draw no bet
Newcastle at 50% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.
Handicap
Arsenal +0.5 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.
Betting notes
How to bet on Newcastle vs Arsenal
Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.
- 02
The model leans towards goals: over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 56%. Goals markets look sharper than the result here.
- 03
The corners range is 10-13. The favourite tends to win most of them while the underdog sits deep, so team corners can beat the match total.
- 04
With the draw only 26%, the match-result market is fairly clean. Newcastle on the Arsenal +0.5 handicap gives a bigger price if you expect a comfortable win.
Match card
Newcastle vs Arsenal match details
- Competition
- Premier League 2026/27
- Date
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026
- Kick-off (UK)
- 17:30
- Kick-off (India)
- 23:00 IST
- Stadium
- St James' Park, Newcastle
- UK TV
- Sky Sports
Match preview
Newcastle United host Arsenal at St James' Park, Newcastle, in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model gives Newcastle an expected 1.38 goals and Arsenal 1.37, which works out to Newcastle 37%, draw 26% and Arsenal 37%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 1-0. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
Newcastle vs Arsenal: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes it Newcastle 37%, draw 26%, Arsenal 37%, so Newcastle United are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Arsenal?
Our predicted full-time score is 1-0, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.38 goals from Newcastle and 1.37 from Arsenal.
When and where is Newcastle United vs Arsenal?
It kicks off on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 at 17:30 UK time (23:00 IST in India) at St James' Park in Newcastle. It is live on Sky Sports in the UK. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.
Can I bet on Newcastle vs Arsenal in-play?
Yes. Markets stay open for the full 90 minutes with back and lay prices, so you can trade out after a goal, a red card or a change in momentum.
Is Newcastle United vs Arsenal a derby?
No. It is a regular league fixture between clubs from Newcastle and London.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Arsenal?
The model puts both teams to score at 56%. That leans yes, and over 2.5 goals sits at 52%.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppFixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.