Premier League 2026/27 · Manchester derby
Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction
Predicted score, odds & match preview
Man City
63% win probability
Predicted score
1 : 0
HT 0-0
Man Utd
15% win probability
- Sat, 20 Mar 2027
- 15:00 UK20:30 IST
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
- TV pick to be confirmedUK broadcast
Quick answer
Quick answer
Manchester City are clear favourites at 63% to beat Manchester United at Etihad Stadium. Powerplay247's predicted score is 1-0, with both teams to score at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. Kick-off: Sat, 20 Mar 2027, 15:00 UK (20:30 IST).
- Favourite
- Man City (63%)
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Both teams score
- 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
Match prediction
Man City vs Man Utd: who will win?
Powerplay247's goals model makes Manchester City favourites at 63%, with the draw at 22%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.
Predicted winner
Man City
63% · predicted 1-0
Draw no bet: Man City 81%
Man City win
63%
Man Utd win
15%
Draw
22%
Handicap line
Man City -1
Goals and totals
Man City vs Man Utd goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5
Expected goals: Man City 1.83, Man Utd 0.74. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.
- Man City expected goals
- 1.83
- Man Utd expected goals
- 0.74
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 3.5 goals
- 74%
- Likeliest exact score
- 1-0 (14%)
- Half-time score
- 0-0
- Total corners
- 10-13
- Total cards
- 4.5-5.5
Team preview
Manchester City vs Manchester United: team preview
How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Manchester City
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester City are among the title contenders. Expect them to control possession at Etihad Stadium and push Man Utd back, so their chance count, and the corners market, tends to run high.
Away
Manchester United
Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United are a strong top-half side. Their games away at Etihad Stadium usually turn on midfield control and how well they defend transitions.
Markets
Best betting markets for Man City vs Man Utd
Match result (1X2)
Man City 63% · Draw 22% · Man Utd 15%.
Correct score
The single most likely exact score is 1-0 (14%), and our predicted score is 1-0. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.
Both teams to score
Yes at 44%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.
Total goals
Over 2.5 at 47%, under 3.5 at 74%, from expected goals of 1.83 and 0.74.
Draw no bet
Man City at 81% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.
Handicap
Man City -1 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.
Betting notes
How to bet on Man City vs Man Utd
Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.
- 02
Powerplay247 is an exchange: you can back or lay every market on Man City vs Man Utd and trade out in-play, for example after an early goal, instead of waiting for full time.
- 03
Derbies bring more fouls and bookings. The model's card range is 4.5-5.5, above the usual Premier League average.
- 04
The model leans towards a tight game: under 3.5 goals at 74%. If the first 30 minutes stay goalless, in-play unders usually get even shorter.
Match card
Man City vs Man Utd match details
- Competition
- Premier League 2026/27
- Date
- Sat, 20 Mar 2027
- Kick-off (UK)
- 15:00
- Kick-off (India)
- 20:30 IST
- Stadium
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
- Rivalry
- Manchester derby
- UK TV
- To be confirmed
Match preview
Manchester City host Manchester United at Etihad Stadium, Manchester, in the Premier League 2026/27. It is a Manchester derby, so form counts for less than usual and the game tends to be tighter and more physical. Our goals model gives Man City an expected 1.83 goals and Man Utd 0.74, which works out to Man City 63%, draw 22% and Man Utd 15%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 1-0. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
Man City vs Man Utd: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes it Man City 63%, draw 22%, Man Utd 15%, so Manchester City are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Manchester United?
Our predicted full-time score is 1-0, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.83 goals from Man City and 0.74 from Man Utd.
When and where is Manchester City vs Manchester United?
It kicks off on Sat, 20 Mar 2027 at 15:00 UK time (20:30 IST in India) at Etihad Stadium in Manchester. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.
Will both teams score in Man City vs Man Utd?
The model puts both teams to score at 44%. That leans no, and over 2.5 goals sits at 47%.
Is Manchester City vs Manchester United a derby?
Yes, it is the Manchester derby. Derbies tend to be tighter and more physical, so the model trims the expected goals and raises the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Can I bet on Man City vs Man Utd in-play?
Yes. Markets stay open for the full 90 minutes with back and lay prices, so you can trade out after a goal, a red card or a change in momentum.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppFixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.