Premier League 2026/27 · London derby
Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction
Predicted score, odds & match preview
Chelsea
38% win probability
Predicted score
1 : 0
HT 0-0
Arsenal
34% win probability
- Sat, 13 Mar 2027
- 15:00 UK20:30 IST
- Stamford Bridge, London
- TV pick to be confirmedUK broadcast
Quick answer
Quick answer
Chelsea vs Arsenal kicks off Sat, 13 Mar 2027, 15:00 UK (20:30 IST). Chelsea are narrow favourites at 38%, our predicted score is 1-0, and the model rates both teams to score at 48%.
- Favourite
- Chelsea (38%)
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
Match prediction
Chelsea vs Arsenal: who will win?
Powerplay247's goals model makes Chelsea favourites at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.
Predicted winner
Chelsea
38% · predicted 1-0
Draw no bet: Chelsea 53%
Chelsea win
38%
Arsenal win
34%
Draw
28%
Handicap line
Arsenal +0.5
Goals and totals
Chelsea vs Arsenal goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5
Expected goals: Chelsea 1.23, Arsenal 1.14. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.
- Chelsea expected goals
- 1.23
- Arsenal expected goals
- 1.14
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Under 3.5 goals
- 79%
- Likeliest exact score
- 1-1 (13%)
- Half-time score
- 0-0
- Total corners
- 10-13
- Total cards
- 4.5-5.5
Team preview
Chelsea vs Arsenal: team preview
How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Chelsea
Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea are among the title contenders. Expect them to control possession at Stamford Bridge and push Arsenal back, so their chance count, and the corners market, tends to run high.
Away
Arsenal
Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal are among the title contenders. Expect them to control possession away at Stamford Bridge and push Chelsea back, so their chance count, and the corners market, tends to run high.
Markets
Best betting markets for Chelsea vs Arsenal
Match result (1X2)
Chelsea 38% · Draw 28% · Arsenal 34%.
Correct score
The single most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), and our predicted score is 1-0. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.
Both teams to score
Yes at 48%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.
Total goals
Over 2.5 at 42%, under 3.5 at 79%, from expected goals of 1.23 and 1.14.
Draw no bet
Chelsea at 53% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.
Handicap
Arsenal +0.5 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.
Betting notes
How to bet on Chelsea vs Arsenal
Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
The draw is live at 28%. Draw-no-bet on Chelsea (53% on the two-way split) protects your stake if the game ends level.
- 02
The model leans towards a tight game: under 3.5 goals at 79%. If the first 30 minutes stay goalless, in-play unders usually get even shorter.
- 03
Powerplay247 is an exchange: you can back or lay every market on Chelsea vs Arsenal and trade out in-play, for example after an early goal, instead of waiting for full time.
- 04
Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.
Match card
Chelsea vs Arsenal match details
- Competition
- Premier League 2026/27
- Date
- Sat, 13 Mar 2027
- Kick-off (UK)
- 15:00
- Kick-off (India)
- 20:30 IST
- Stadium
- Stamford Bridge, London
- Rivalry
- London derby
- UK TV
- To be confirmed
Match preview
Chelsea host Arsenal at Stamford Bridge, London, in the Premier League 2026/27. It is a London derby, so form counts for less than usual and the game tends to be tighter and more physical. Our goals model gives Chelsea an expected 1.23 goals and Arsenal 1.14, which works out to Chelsea 38%, draw 28% and Arsenal 34%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 1-0. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
Chelsea vs Arsenal: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes it Chelsea 38%, draw 28%, Arsenal 34%, so Chelsea are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Arsenal?
Our predicted full-time score is 1-0, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.23 goals from Chelsea and 1.14 from Arsenal.
When and where is Chelsea vs Arsenal?
It kicks off on Sat, 13 Mar 2027 at 15:00 UK time (20:30 IST in India) at Stamford Bridge in London. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for Premier League betting?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will help with setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Sat, 13 Mar 2027.
What time does Chelsea vs Arsenal start in India?
Kick-off is 15:00 UK time on Sat, 13 Mar 2027, which is 20:30 IST in India.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Arsenal?
The model puts both teams to score at 48%. That leans no, and over 2.5 goals sits at 42%.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppFixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.